What can be mistaken for cluster movement as evidenced as debrie on a bottom board is nothing more than cappings, mite fall, and cleansing that didn't make it out of the hive. The hive cluster will seem to breath as temperatures fluxuate but this lessening and tightening is not to be mistaken for movement laterally or vertically within the hive.
In every hive I have examimed, live or deadout, during the colder months of the year I have always found the cluster to be in the top brood box with the center concentric to the year-around warmer side of the hive. Since I've had ample opportunity to examine hives during the months of Oct-March for 50+ years, and have always found the same circumstance, ie the cluster in the top brood chamber of the hive, with noted offset, I can't draw any other conclusion than, although the cluster will fluxuate in size as it relaxes in warmer winter temperatures and decreases in size during colder periods, the cluster, per se, does not move to any significance.
In support of this I have found individual or small groups of worker bees in the far reaches of the hive clustered around opened honey cells where they were either, in the case of a live hive, moving stores to the cluster, or, in the case of a deadout, froze in place during a sudden temperature drop.
Now days with the advent of temperature sensors capable of recording heat inprints through more than an inch of wood I think that such a sensor set up to observe several individual hives whould show what I've described to be the case. It would be necessary to set the observation equipment to monitor 24/7.