Quoting AR Beekeeper. (added below), Who quoted the Scientist from Germany who advocates the brood break method, (Ralph Blucher) your hive
may be in very serious trouble? You are experiencing a drop of 20-30 mites per day. That?s not even taking into account the numbers which may be under your capped brood. According to the AR report. 1 to 2 percent varroa are lost per day when NO brood is present. Considering this, Excluding your brood, 30 per day drop, which
may represent only one to two percent of your mite problem. AGAIN IF THE REPORTS ARE ACCURATE FROM GERMANY.
If that 30 drop is one to two percent, your outer brood mite count will be roughly anywhere from
2,940 - 2,970 mites. Again not counting what is in and beneath your open and capped brood.
Concerning a 25 day brood break quoting ARBeekeeper
According to Ralph Blucher, their studies in Germany show that the varroa on adult bees are lost at a rate of 1 to 2% per day. .
My average mite count on a sticky board is 20-30/day as we go into autumn. The arrived in May after being treated by the supplier and had a count of 5/day the last one in september showed 16 and 25/day for the two hives. There will always be varroa present and I am now ok with the current numbers, not excessive.
I read that the majority of varroa are on the nurse bees, which makes sense, so most should drop onto the sticky board from there.
I am basing my optimism on the idea that when they arrived they had been treated so must have had the same mite count as they do now prior to that ?
So if they made it once they should make it again. They are active and still bringing in pollen so I take that as a sign of wellbeing.
I know sticky boards are not especially accurate but do show trends. I will keep doing them on the basis that all is well now and if they hold steady they must be coping with it.
Temperatures dropping now and 10c this morning, should improve a little next week. They are in adapter boxes (5 frame nuc size) with 18mm (3/4") pine walls in a sheltered corner. As they are under cover and won't get wet I may add a couple of layers of cardboard just to be sure.